We believed low and you can higher replacing masters from the analyses once the uncertainty regarding replacing benefits leads to uncertainty from inside the minimization results to have energy and you may situations . 4), but modern fuels had better regional differentiation, especially for places with high industrial opportunity demand and you can reduced population, much like the findings out of an early analysis . Having coming analyses, it would be best for provides spatial details about upcoming area and you may commercial fuel useage for each fossil fuel.
Uncertainty on the replacement advantages to own wood points is actually examined by the playing with large and you will reduced replacing experts to have sawnwood and you may panels. A recently available review of education having reviewed substitution experts to have wood , discover the common unit displacement component that is within the assortment regarding viewpoints found in this research, however, additional information on displacement products from the item particular and nation could be of use, and additionally more information on prevent-uses and related product lifetimes (elizabeth.g. [5, 8]). Information regarding replacement masters having pulp and you may paper is bound, therefore we thought there’s no replacing benefit, however, given the ratio out of C in this classification (25% in order to 34% out of wood products), polishing these activities possess large influences online GHG prevention. No matter what uncertainties regarding real magnitude out-of substitution gurus, our results certainly show that better mitigation professionals can be achieved by way of principles that (1) improve C maintenance time in gathered wood activities by favouring long-existed more brief-resided items and bioenergy, and you may (2) encourage the access to timber products to replace emission-intense material, elizabeth.g. on the strengthening markets. In terms of the economic analyses, similar studies have compared mitigation costs for various mitigation scenarios at the national scale and for specific activities [45, 56, 68]. In this study, we used regionally differentiated economic assumptions by three broad regions (northern interior, southern https://datingranking.net/es/citas-nudistas/ interior, coastal region) as well as at the timber supply area (TSA) level for the Bioenergy scenarios in order to capture the spatial variation in market price and production cost (Additional file 1: Table S9). The cost and price assumptions associated with the bioenergy scenarios and the substitution effects were TSA-specific depending on residue availability, bioenergy facility type, transportation distance (simple estimates), and fuel mix. We assumed that log prices would be affected if harvest shifted among log grades due to mitigation scenarios. For example, the Higher Recovery scenario was assumed to increase the proportion of logs in lower grades and thus reduce overall average log prices, while the Restricted Harvest scenario was assumed to decrease the portion of top-grade logs, and therefore also reduce overall average log prices. Costs related to forest management were affected if harvest activities were altered by mitigation scenarios, for instance, logging costs increased in conservation scenarios because more dispersed cut blocks were needed to keep the same harvest characteristics (e.g., diameters, tree species, etc.). We also assumed a fixed $50/tCO2e carbon price over the entire period for slashburning as a penalty in the baseline to reflect a possible policy change to include slashburning in BC’s existing carbon pricing . Manufacturing costs were also impacted by changes in production efficiency that then depend on the availability of input materials. Additional recovered fiber under Higher Utilization was assumed to be used in HWP following the same proportions as in the baseline, thus a lower manufacturing cost was assumed for pulp and paper production due to higher efficiency, but a higher manufacturing cost for solid wood products because of lower log quality. Similarly, higher manufacturing costs were assumed for all HWP in the conservation scenarios due to lower efficiency. In the LLP scenario, we assumed economy of scales increased manufacturing costs of pulp and paper (+ 2%) and decreased costs for solid wood products (? 2%) . not, no change in field rates out-of HWP try presumed in any condition just like the HWP prices are usually influenced by higher-measure segments while diary locations try apparently regional